TCGPredict
Blacephalon-GX
SetLost Thunder
Number199
RarityRare Ultra
Artist5ban Graphics
TypeFire
HP180

Blacephalon-GX

Lost Thunder · Sun & Moon

£19.38

+83.0%
Chase Card

Best accuracy. Uses all available signals.

Price History

Price
Trend
30d Projection
90d Projection
Activity
Model Price

Projection assumes gradual mean reversion to model fair value. It is a target valuation, not a price prediction. The on-chart line is visually capped at ±50% of current price; the full model target is available on hover.

Pull Cost

Pull Difficulty
7.3

Desirability Index3.0 / 10

Character Premium (45%)
1.0
Artwork / Hype (45%)
5.0
Universal Appeal (10%)
3.1

Model estimate based on historical patterns. Not financial advice. Actual prices depend on condition, demand, and market factors.

7-day forecast

Where the model thinks this card will be next week

v12 / short

Why this prediction?

eBay UK Prices

Click the button to fetch live Buy It Now prices from eBay UK.

Pull Cost
7
Character Premium
1
Artwork / Hype
5
Age (years)
0

Current Model Price

£10.59

Your Scenario

£0.18

Grading Potential

GradeEst. ValueMultiplier
Raw£19.38--
PSA 9£46.512.4x
CGC 9.5£62.023.2x
PSA 10£77.524.0x
CGC 10£58.143.0x
Grading cost£25.00
Profit if PSA 10+£33.14
Worth grading?YES

Estimates based on historical graded/raw ratios. Actual results depend on card condition and market demand.

About Blacephalon-GX

Market context, fair-value analysis, and investment signals.

Blacephalon-GX (#199) is a ultra rare from the Lost Thunder set in the Sun & Moon series, released November 2018, illustrated by 5ban Graphics. It's one of the chase cards in the set, meaning collector demand typically outpaces pull rates and secondary-market supply.

The current market price sits at £19.38, while our model's fair-value estimate comes in at £10.59. That puts the card 83.0% above where the fundamentals suggest it should trade, which is why we label it as steeply overvalued. The model is trading well above our fair-value estimate, and unless the underlying drivers change the gap tends to close over time.

TCGPredict's fair value estimate is built from the same fundamentals a serious collector would weigh up: pull-rate rarity, character premium, artwork desirability, universal appeal, and the print-run dynamics of the parent set. The breakdown further down this page shows exactly how each of those factors is scored for Blacephalon-GX, so you can judge whether the model's view lines up with yours before you buy, sell, or hold.

If you're researching Blacephalon-GX for investment or portfolio tracking, it's worth comparing it against the rest of Lost Thunder and against other ultra rare cards in the same price band. The links above take you to the full Lost Thunder set page and the wider card browser where you can filter by rarity, deviation, and price.

Market
£19.38
Fair value
£10.59
Rarity
Rare Ultra
Card ID
sm8-199