Meltan
SM Black Star Promos · Sun & Moon
£1.17
+42.7%Price History
Projection assumes gradual mean reversion to model fair value. It is a target valuation, not a price prediction. The on-chart line is visually capped at ±50% of current price; the full model target is available on hover.
Pull Cost
Desirability Index3.2 / 10
Model estimate based on historical patterns. Not financial advice. Actual prices depend on condition, demand, and market factors.
7-day forecast
Where the model thinks this card will be next week
Why this prediction?
eBay UK Prices
Click the button to fetch live Buy It Now prices from eBay UK.
Current Model Price
£0.82
Your Scenario
£0.11
Grading Potential
6 PSA 10 out of 14 graded
| Grade | Est. Value | Multiplier |
|---|---|---|
| Raw | £1.17 | -- |
| PSA 9 | £3.51 | 3.0x |
| CGC 9.5 | £4.68 | 4.0x |
| PSA 10 | £5.85 | 5.0x |
| CGC 10 | £2.34 | 2.0x |
PSA 10 multiplier based on real gem rate data from PSA population reports.
About Meltan
Market context, fair-value analysis, and investment signals.
Meltan (#SM177) is a promo from the SM Black Star Promos set in the Sun & Moon series, released February 2017, illustrated by Shin Nagasawa. Its secondary-market behaviour is worth watching if you care about Pokemon TCG valuation.
The current market price sits at £1.17, while our model's fair-value estimate comes in at £0.82. That puts the card 42.7% above where the fundamentals suggest it should trade, which is why we label it as steeply overvalued. The model is trading well above our fair-value estimate, and unless the underlying drivers change the gap tends to close over time.
TCGPredict's fair value estimate is built from the same fundamentals a serious collector would weigh up: pull-rate rarity, character premium, artwork desirability, universal appeal, and the print-run dynamics of the parent set. The breakdown further down this page shows exactly how each of those factors is scored for Meltan, so you can judge whether the model's view lines up with yours before you buy, sell, or hold.
If you're researching Meltan for investment or portfolio tracking, it's worth comparing it against the rest of SM Black Star Promos and against other promo cards in the same price band. The links above take you to the full SM Black Star Promos set page and the wider card browser where you can filter by rarity, deviation, and price.
Keep exploring
- Market
- £1.17
- Fair value
- £0.82
- Rarity
- Promo
- Card ID
- smp-SM177