TCGPredict
Lugia VSTAR
SetSilver Tempest
Number202
RarityRare Rainbow
ArtistPLANETA Mochizuki
TypeColorless
HP280

Lugia VSTAR

Silver Tempest · Sword & Shield

£22.38

-3.0%
Chase Card

Best accuracy. Uses all available signals.

Price History

Price
Trend
30d Projection
90d Projection
Activity
Model Price

Projection assumes gradual mean reversion to model fair value. It is a target valuation, not a price prediction. The on-chart line is visually capped at ±50% of current price; the full model target is available on hover.

Pull Cost

Pull Difficulty
10.0

Desirability Index3.0 / 10

Character Premium (45%)
1.0
Artwork / Hype (45%)
5.0
Universal Appeal (10%)
3.1

Model estimate based on historical patterns. Not financial advice. Actual prices depend on condition, demand, and market factors.

7-day forecast

Where the model thinks this card will be next week

v12 / short

Why this prediction?

eBay UK Prices

Click the button to fetch live Buy It Now prices from eBay UK.

Pull Cost
10
Character Premium
1
Artwork / Hype
5
Age (years)
0

Current Model Price

£23.06

Your Scenario

£1.28

Grading Potential

Gem Rate60.4%

6,377 PSA 10 out of 10,558 graded

GradeEst. ValueMultiplier
Raw£22.38--
PSA 9£53.712.4x
CGC 9.5£71.623.2x
PSA 10£89.524.0x
CGC 10£78.333.5x
Grading cost£25.00
Profit if PSA 10+£42.14
Worth grading?YES

PSA 10 multiplier based on real gem rate data from PSA population reports.

About Lugia VSTAR

Market context, fair-value analysis, and investment signals.

Lugia VSTAR (#202) is a rainbow rare from the Silver Tempest set in the Sword & Shield series, released November 2022, illustrated by PLANETA Mochizuki. It's one of the chase cards in the set, meaning collector demand typically outpaces pull rates and secondary-market supply.

The current market price sits at £22.38, while our model's fair-value estimate comes in at £23.06. That puts the card 3.0% below where the fundamentals suggest it should trade, which is why we label it as fairly priced. The model is roughly in line with our fair-value estimate, and unless the underlying drivers change the gap tends to close over time.

TCGPredict's fair value estimate is built from the same fundamentals a serious collector would weigh up: pull-rate rarity, character premium, artwork desirability, universal appeal, and the print-run dynamics of the parent set. The breakdown further down this page shows exactly how each of those factors is scored for Lugia VSTAR, so you can judge whether the model's view lines up with yours before you buy, sell, or hold.

If you're researching Lugia VSTAR for investment or portfolio tracking, it's worth comparing it against the rest of Silver Tempest and against other rainbow rare cards in the same price band. The links above take you to the full Silver Tempest set page and the wider card browser where you can filter by rarity, deviation, and price.

Market
£22.38
Fair value
£23.06
Rarity
Rare Rainbow
Card ID
swsh12-202