TCGPredict
Conkeldurr
SetBlack Bolt
Number127
RarityIllustration Rare
ArtistKazumasa Yasukuni
TypeFighting
HP140

Conkeldurr

Black Bolt · Scarlet & Violet

£12.42

-8.8%
Chase Card

Best accuracy. Uses all available signals.

Price History

Price
Trend
30d Projection
90d Projection
Activity
Model Price

Projection assumes gradual mean reversion to model fair value. It is a target valuation, not a price prediction. The on-chart line is visually capped at ±50% of current price; the full model target is available on hover.

Pull Cost

Pull Difficulty
5.0

Desirability Index3.2 / 10

Character Premium (45%)
1.0
Artwork / Hype (45%)
5.0
Universal Appeal (10%)
5.0

Model estimate based on historical patterns. Not financial advice. Actual prices depend on condition, demand, and market factors.

7-day forecast

Where the model thinks this card will be next week

v12 / short

Why this prediction?

eBay UK Prices

Click the button to fetch live Buy It Now prices from eBay UK.

Pull Cost
5
Character Premium
1
Artwork / Hype
5
Age (years)
0

Current Model Price

£13.62

Your Scenario

£0.05

Grading Potential

GradeEst. ValueMultiplier
Raw£12.42--
PSA 9£29.812.4x
CGC 9.5£39.743.2x
PSA 10£49.684.0x
CGC 10£37.263.0x
Grading cost£25.00
Profit if PSA 10+£12.26
Worth grading?MAYBE

Estimates based on historical graded/raw ratios. Actual results depend on card condition and market demand.

About Conkeldurr

Market context, fair-value analysis, and investment signals.

Conkeldurr (#127) is a illustration rare from the Black Bolt set in the Scarlet & Violet series, released July 2025, illustrated by Kazumasa Yasukuni. It's one of the chase cards in the set, meaning collector demand typically outpaces pull rates and secondary-market supply.

The current market price sits at £12.42, while our model's fair-value estimate comes in at £13.62. That puts the card 8.8% below where the fundamentals suggest it should trade, which is why we label it as slightly off fair value. The model is drifting a few points away from our fair-value estimate, and unless the underlying drivers change the gap tends to close over time.

TCGPredict's fair value estimate is built from the same fundamentals a serious collector would weigh up: pull-rate rarity, character premium, artwork desirability, universal appeal, and the print-run dynamics of the parent set. The breakdown further down this page shows exactly how each of those factors is scored for Conkeldurr, so you can judge whether the model's view lines up with yours before you buy, sell, or hold.

If you're researching Conkeldurr for investment or portfolio tracking, it's worth comparing it against the rest of Black Bolt and against other illustration rare cards in the same price band. The links above take you to the full Black Bolt set page and the wider card browser where you can filter by rarity, deviation, and price.

Market
£12.42
Fair value
£13.62
Rarity
Illustration Rare
Card ID
zsv10pt5-127